Cake
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    • Between the automation of automobiles and the transition from gas to electric, the economic implications are going to be insane.

      Electric cars have fewer moving parts and don’t require routine oil changes, which threatens the auto parts industry and “quick lube” shops like Jiffy Lube. Not too mention the millions of gas stations around the country who will likely suffer because most folks will opt to charge at home or work.

      And that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Autonomous vehicles will eventually replace professional drivers. In the US alone that includes over 200,000 taxi drivers and 3+ million truck drivers! Not to mention the reduction in the need for auto insurance and collision repair. And since autonomous vehicles will be programmed to obey traffic laws there will be significant decreases in law enforcement funding from fines. And unless an autonomous vehicle comes with some sort of change dispenser the panhandlers are going to have to abandon their street corners to beg for change (does panhandling count as an industry?).

    • Fascinating, Jim. Malcolm Gladwell has been in the news the last couple of days saying it’s inevitable hacker will hack 200 of them at once to cause an accident, and it’s possible they will increase congestion.

      It seems there is something terrifying about them to us humans. I wonder if we’ll just get used them and shrug like we have done with cars, or stay terrified as we are of air travel.

    • Electric cars have fewer moving parts and don’t require routine oil changes, which threatens the auto parts industry and “quick lube” shops like Jiffy Lube. Not too mention the millions of gas stations around the country who will likely suffer because most folks will opt to charge at home or work.

      Another implication that hadn't even occurred to me until I got an electric car: most (maybe all?) electric cars use regenerative braking to recapture energy when you lift off the accelerator pedal.

      Since regenerative braking uses motor resistance to reduce speed instead of using the actual brakes, electric cars put much less wear on their brake pads. In fact, Elon Musk has said the Tesla Model 3's brake pads might never need replacing during the lifetime of the car with normal driving.

      So there goes thousands of brake shops too!

    • The even bigger disruption is going to be autonomous trucks. Trucking is one of top industries in something like 45 states. Small towns that serve as waypoints for truckers will disappear. No more truck stops, etc.

      There will be a few opportunities. For eaxample I explored building stations to install chains on autonomous trucks on each side of mountain passes. There will also probably be temp drivers for autonomous vechicles for entering cities and for feeder trucks from autonomous truck hubs. At least in the early days.