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    • Is Roma a shoo-in for Best Picture, or does Black Panther have a chance at a surprise win? Will Glenn Close finally win an Oscar, or could Lady Gaga take the prize?

      Post your predictions below!

      Here's the complete list of 2019 Oscar nominations. I don't have a prediction for every category and (like most people) I haven't seen every nominated movie so I'm relying a bit on industry buzz here, but my own predictions are in bold.

      Best Picture:

      “Black Panther”
      “Bohemian Rhapsody”
      “The Favourite”
      “Green Book”
      “A Star Is Born”

      Lead Actor:

      Christian Bale, “Vice”
      Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
      Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
      Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
      Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”

      Lead Actress:

      Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
      Glenn Close, “The Wife”
      Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
      Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
      Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

      Supporting Actor:

      Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
      Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
      Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
      Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
      Sam Rockwell, “Vice”

      Supporting Actress:

      Amy Adams, “Vice”
      Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
      Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
      Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
      Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”


      Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
      Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
      Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
      Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
      Adam McKay, “Vice”

      Animated Feature:

      “Incredibles 2,” Brad Bird
      “Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
      “Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
      “Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
      “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman

      Animated Short:

      “Animal Behaviour,” Alison Snowden, David Fine
      “Bao,” Domee Shi
      “Late Afternoon,” Louise Bagnall
      “One Small Step,” Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
      “Weekends,” Trevor Jimenez

      Adapted Screenplay:

      “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
      “BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
      Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
      “If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
      “A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters

      Original Screenplay:

      “The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
      “First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
      “Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
      “Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
      “Vice,” Adam McKay


      “Cold War,” Lukasz Zal
      “The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
      “Never Look Away,” Caleb Deschanel
      “Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
      “A Star Is Born,” Matthew Libatique

      Best Documentary Feature:

      “Free Solo,” Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
      “Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross
      “Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu
      “Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki
      “RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen

      Best Documentary Short Subject:

      “Black Sheep,” Ed Perkins
      “End Game,” Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
      “Lifeboat,” Skye Fitzgerald
      “A Night at the Garden,” Marshall Curry
      “Period. End of Sentence.,” Rayka Zehtabchi

      Best Live Action Short Film:

      “Detainment,” Vincent Lambe
      “Fauve,” Jeremy Comte
      “Marguerite,” Marianne Farley
      “Mother,” Rodrigo Sorogoyen
      “Skin,” Guy Nattiv

      Best Foreign Language Film:

      “Capernaum” (Lebanon)
      “Cold War” (Poland)
      “Never Look Away” (Germany)
      “Roma” (Mexico)
      “Shoplifters” (Japan)

      Film Editing:

      “BlacKkKlansman,” Barry Alexander Brown
      “Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
      “Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
      “The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
      “Vice,” Hank Corwin

      Sound Editing:

      “Black Panther,” Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
      “Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
      “First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
      “A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
      “Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay

      Sound Mixing:

      “Black Panther”
      “Bohemian Rhapsody”
      “First Man”
      “A Star Is Born”

      Production Design:

      “Black Panther,” Hannah Beachler
      “First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
      “The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
      “Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
      “Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez

      Original Score:

      “BlacKkKlansman,” Terence Blanchard
      “Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
      “If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
      “Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
      “Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman

      Original Song:

      “All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
      “I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
      “The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
      “Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
      “When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch

      Makeup and Hair:

      “Mary Queen of Scots”

      Costume Design:

      “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
      “Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
      “The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
      “Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
      “Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne

      Visual Effects:

      “Avengers: Infinity War”
      “Christopher Robin”
      “First Man”
      “Ready Player One”
      “Solo: A Star Wars Story”

      📷 Disney | ABC Television Group on Flickr [CC BY-ND 2.0]

    • I did not see any of the other movies for Lead Actor but I am betting $1 that Malek wins that award. With Bradley Cooper and Lada Gaga so much the Top Listers in Entertainment that I would not be surprised if A Star is Born won best movie but I only saw Bohemian Raphsody.

    • in years past, I have made it a habit to see all of the Best Picture nominees, mainly as a way to escape the misery of winter. This year, I just couldn’t do it.

      I saw Bohemian Rhapsody for the music and was pleasantly surprised to see how sensitively the personal/romantic relationship was portrayed. I am probably the only one on the planet who thought Malek’s performance was mediocre, though. Maybe that’s because I have my own memories of FM.

      I saw Black Panther. Did not imagine it would ever surface as a Best Picture nominee. Seemed like just another summer action movie to me.

      I saw Green Book. Felt it was problematic as a movie, but was blown away when I saw the credits roll and found out the actor playing the protagonist was Viggo Mortensen, the guy in Lord of the Rings. 😳

      Not sure I’ll even watch the it tomorrow night?

    • In the documentary category I think it should be between Free Solo and RBG (Ruth Bader Ginsburg). Aside from getting access to RBG, which had to be really hard, I think Free Solo was the harder film to make. And I think it was extraordinary. There was quite a Cake conversation about it:

      But I think RBG will win because more members of the Academy can relate to it and the Supreme Court is so important.

    • I don't know anything about Hollywood politics, so I have no predictions to offer. A couple of comments though: The cinematography in The Favourite was exceptional--quirky low and ultra-wide angle shots that managed to capture the costumes and the vast surroundings in glorious detail. Original work that deserves recognition, I thought. I haven't seen all the contenders in the Foreign Film category, and while I liked Roma, I thought Shoplifters was brilliant. Understated and powerful, you aren't even aware of how involved you've become till everything falls apart at the end.

    • I don’t know if it’s a blessing or curse to be so into photography, like we both are, when it comes to watching movies. On the one hand, it’s fascinating and inspiring, but it distracts me and I miss some of the story.

      Anyway, your comment about The Favourite made me check out the trailer. Not my kind of movie, but agree on the cinematography. Very high contrast, no? Shadows on faces almost black.

    • Really excited that Free Solo won. I haven’t seen any of the others but I loved Free Solo.

      Beyond just the sheer beauty and suspense of the shots, it was almost a documentary within a documentary. A lot of scenes were devoted to how they were going to capture each shot in the face of insane technical and safety challenges, and the way they exposed the filmmaking process itself was very cool. I think the Academy tends to favor films that are in some way about filmmaking itself.

    • Is Roma a shoo-in for Best Picture, or does Black Panther have a chance at a surprise win? Will Glenn Close finally win an Oscar, or could Lady Gaga take the prize?

      Whoa. Not what we expected? The Los Angeles Times was not amused.

    • I enjoyed the film but was amazed it won the oscar. It's a popcorn movie, not to be taken seriously, a feel - good film?

    • Green Book was an airplane movie, and even a pretty decent one at that. Totally predictable, it could have been made 30 years ago, but it was out-classed by most of the other contenders, at least the ones I have seen. I find it strange that it won, but then as I said earlier, I don't understand Hollywood politics.

    • I don’t know if it’s a blessing or curse to be so into photography, like we both are, when it comes to watching movies. On the one hand, it’s fascinating and inspiring, but it distracts me and I miss some of the story.

      Getting into photography definitely made me more aware of how films work. I often will see a really good film twice, once to get the basic story and then a second time to savor the details. I do this with novels as well, sometimes immediately after the first pass.

    • Just reading a few of the writeups...I find it so funny how Spike Lee throws another tantrum....I always respected his sort of chip-on-the-shoulder thing but at some point you have to display good sportsmanship. He obviously has a grudge against the academy, but, why diminish the competitors victory?

    • Yeah, it was really hard to decide whether I thought Free Solo or RBG was a more likely winner. I went with RBG because it seemed like a more important work, in spite of how impressive Free Solo was as an achievement. Clearly the Academy disagreed. 😄

    • I can see that. And I wonder if it hurts his chances for future awards if he ticks off too many people in the Academy.

      On the other hand, I thought his acceptance speech was powerful, no?

      The word today is “irony.” The date, the 24th. The month, February, which also happens to be the shortest month of the year, which also happens to be Black History month. The year, 2019. The year, 1619. History. Her story. 1619. 2019. 400 years.

      Four hundred years. Our ancestors were stolen from Mother Africa and bought to Jamestown, Virginia, enslaved. Our ancestors worked the land from can’t see in the morning to can’t see at night. My grandmother, [inaudible], who lived to be 100 years young, who was a Spelman College graduate even though her mother was a slave. My grandmother who saved 50 years of social security checks to put her first grandchild — she called me Spikie-poo — she put me through Morehouse College and N.Y.U. grad film. N.Y.U.!

      Before the world tonight, I give praise to our ancestors who have built this country into what it is today along with the genocide of its native people. We all connect with our ancestors. We will have love and wisdom regained, we will regain our humanity. It will be a powerful moment. The 2020 presidential election is around the corner. Let’s all mobilize. Let’s all be on the right side of history. Make the moral choice between love versus hate. Let’s do the right thing! You know I had to get that in there.

    • I did not watch it but thanks for copying his speech. He still won an award so I hope he does not feel too let down. Angst is a great muse for creativity for many artists so I hope he never loses his. The man has straight up passion, not to be denied.

    • I hate to admit publicly that I have yet to watch Free Solo....I love Chin's commitment to his craft and genre....truly a master. To be honest, and so ridiculous to admit, but, after seeing his hipster CHASE banking ads, I sort feel like it would be if Meryl Streep doing an ad for hemorrhoid creme. But, I suspect I will get over it and watch Free Solo as the whole topic is on the same par as breaking the 4-minute mile back in the day.

    • I think Spike's reaction is less about his film not winning and more about the fact that Green Book is a film about racism made by white people for white people, but purporting to tell the story of a black man, whose family wasn't even consulted.

      In an era when movies by black filmmakers are finally starting to be recognized by the Academy — Selma, 12 Years a Slave, Moonlight, Black Panther, and so on — Green Book's win last night felt to me like a big step back.

      I don't think BlacKkKlansman should have won either (personally I really didn't like it), but I think Green Book's win reveals that the Academy might not be quite as woke us we thought they were when Moonlight won.

    • Wow...thanks for the detailed backstory Ryan. I had no idea and now I understand his reaction....still not very professional but I get it.

    • "the fact that Green Book is a film about racism made by white people for white people, but purporting to tell the story of a black man, whose family wasn't even consulted."

      You encapsulated what I couldn't... that's exactly whats wrong with the film.

      People were being lynched in 1962, Baldy's colleague was smashed in the face with a shovel, in a bar in wyoming, because of his skin colour... Green book is a vanilla take on a murderous, viciously violent time .