• Log In
  • Sign Up
    • Everyone, aside from maybe his most diehard supporters, thought Joe Biden was walking dead when it came to the 2020 Democratic Primary. That’s why I was so surprised to see him as the projected winner of South Carolina. No doubt this is a huge win for the Biden campaign with Super Tuesday just around the corner on March 3rd. Anyone think Biden might pull out the nomination or will this just be a one-hit wonder for him? Also, is it possible that we make too much of these early primaries? At least after seeing this, it feels like we won’t really have a good feel for who will win the nomination until after Super Tuesday. 

      (Credit: Scott Olson/Getty Images)

    • In three attempts at running for President over 30 years, this is the first time that he’s ever won a Presidential Primary. [end snide comment]

      But what about this.

      Interviews with party leaders in half a dozen Super Tuesday states suggest that the same vulnerabilities that plagued Mr. Biden beginning in Iowa — subpar organization, limited outreach to local Democrats and a late start to campaigning — are holding him back in the states that next week will dole out a third of the total delegates in the Democratic primary.

      Mr. Biden’s on-the-ground operations, these Democrats said, are easily dwarfed by those of Mr. Sanders and Michael R. Bloomberg, the moderate former mayor of New York who has plainly cut into Mr. Biden’s standing in some of these states even as he faces his own mounting challenges in the race.

      He has not campaigned in a Super Tuesday state in over a month. (NYT)

      This is the same reason that was given by the New York Times for why Biden did so poorly in New Hampshire: his campaign was undermanned and started too late there.

    • Biden beat expectations in SC, but that only buys him three days of fame till Super Tuesday results are in. He would need to surprise everyone then to remain viable. Even if Klobuchar and Steyer drop out and endorse him, he still would lack the means to compete with Bloomberg. Ironically, the Dems seem to be repeating the pattern of the Republicans in 2016, when the "moderates" refused to agree on a unified opposition to the insurgent. I guess that would be OK with me as long as the comparison holds through the end, with the insurgent, "un-electable" candidate winning the election. But really, all narratives at this point are pure speculation (including this one). We'll have a better idea of where things stand at the end of March.

    • My favorite punditry comment today on social media, written in the style of MSNBC’s Chris Matthews:

      A majority of South Carolina voters rejected Biden in favor of non-Biden alternatives, sending a clear signal that they wanted someone else besides Biden as President.

    • Hah! That gives me a headache.

      BTW, Nate Silver and the others at are giving the highest probability to none of the above:

      If you really want to nerd out, Silver offers five different theories of what the Biden win might mean: